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For the Real Estate Drop in sales and price Naysayers HOLD ONTO YOUR HATS

Vib

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I've been following this thread since it started.

Besides building and running our new RV park in Utah, I still own and manage a small commercial real estate brokerage in Colorado.

Here's what we've experienced. Our RV reservations are forecast to double this year, but that is still less than we hoped for. Likely due to us still being such a new park.

For the brokerage, deals stopped in Nov last year as there is such a disconnect between buyers/sellers and tenants/landlords. We are seeing some activity again this last week and we'll see how it progresses.

We did pick up quite a few rental townhouses and some smaller MF for 1031 buyers last year at approx 20% less than ask pricing.

For the future...who knows.
 

77charger

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Everyone sees the events on the horizon through a different prism. Most here aren't "over the hill", but have made a fair climb towards the peak. You're a few steps younger than me, young family. Most my age are more towards their peak, I'm sitting atop a foothill, enjoying the views.

I'm still fit to dig ditches if need be. When it comes down to it, I wonder who will have the ability and drive to adapt? Many people have been taught that this or that is beneath them. Those people may struggle. Family bonds will be tested, as will friendships. Time will tell.
We made changes in 2020 sold oc home took lot of equity to az took a small 60k loan for 15 years. Put 250k down. Made life way easier for sure wife back at work full time I went part time.

I can tell for sure todays dollar don’t buy what it did when we moved as far as everyday living. I can work as little or as much as I want but some expenses came up and handled easily. I was thinking other day we were barely making it In so cal today would be damn tough and in a rough spot. We prepared for long term when we moved where we don’t have to have high paying jobs just to live.
 

monkeyswrench

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We made changes in 2020 sold oc home took lot of equity to az took a small 60k loan for 15 years. Put 250k down. Made life way easier for sure wife back at work full time I went part time.

I can tell for sure todays dollar don’t buy what it did when we moved as far as everyday living. I can work as little or as much as I want but some expenses came up and handled easily. I was thinking other day we were barely making it In so cal today would be damn tough and in a rough spot. We prepared for long term when we moved where we don’t have to have high paying jobs just to live.
Pretty much what I did in '12. The goal was to bring living expenses down (and blood pressure). With 5 in the house, including 2 teenage boys, groceries are out of hand. One boy is working out heavily, and could out eat a horse. The other kind of requires a particular diet. Turns out, the healthy stuff is pretty expensive.

Wife and I kind of split the shopping detail. We were talking about it last night, what is still in shorter supply on the shelves. Up here, it seems they're selling a lot more pasta, tortillas and canned goods. Having been through that side of it, to me it looks like people trying to stretch their money. I'm sure weather and holidays play a role as well.

As I said before, this site is not the best metric by which to judge the health of the economy. It's mostly people who have had some amount of expendable income. Slowly costs are going to start creeping up on everyone, more than they have. I just received another price increase for Izusu NPR oil filters. Now 27 and change. 3rd increase in 8 months, up 10$ total. May not seem like much, but that's one of several. Fuel filters from Mopar for a Cummins? 80$ each, or knockoffs for 40$. People say those don't effect them. It doesn't directly. It effects the goods getting to their door though. Material costs are hard to cut, so where does a company cut? Either pricing increases to maintain profits, or you use less labor to accomplish the same work.

The labor force would be those requiring multiple incomes to make rent or the mortgage. Increased costs come directly from your wallet. I'm a bit confused how this is all bright and shiny. Doesn't seem great from my porch.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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Pretty much what I did in '12. The goal was to bring living expenses down (and blood pressure). With 5 in the house, including 2 teenage boys, groceries are out of hand. One boy is working out heavily, and could out eat a horse. The other kind of requires a particular diet. Turns out, the healthy stuff is pretty expensive.

Wife and I kind of split the shopping detail. We were talking about it last night, what is still in shorter supply on the shelves. Up here, it seems they're selling a lot more pasta, tortillas and canned goods. Having been through that side of it, to me it looks like people trying to stretch their money. I'm sure weather and holidays play a role as well.

As I said before, this site is not the best metric by which to judge the health of the economy. It's mostly people who have had some amount of expendable income. Slowly costs are going to start creeping up on everyone, more than they have. I just received another price increase for Izusu NPR oil filters. Now 27 and change. 3rd increase in 8 months, up 10$ total. May not seem like much, but that's one of several. Fuel filters from Mopar for a Cummins? 80$ each, or knockoffs for 40$. People say those don't effect them. It doesn't directly. It effects the goods getting to their door though. Material costs are hard to cut, so where does a company cut? Either pricing increases to maintain profits, or you use less labor to accomplish the same work.

The labor force would be those requiring multiple incomes to make rent or the mortgage. Increased costs come directly from your wallet. I'm a bit confused how this is all bright and shiny. Doesn't seem great from my porch.

It’s not bright and shiny, but the world isn’t ending either is the point.

Even from 08-12 there weren’t people dying in the streets. People adapt and come out of the holes they find themselves in with the passing of time.
 

77charger

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Pretty much what I did in '12. The goal was to bring living expenses down (and blood pressure). With 5 in the house, including 2 teenage boys, groceries are out of hand. One boy is working out heavily, and could out eat a horse. The other kind of requires a particular diet. Turns out, the healthy stuff is pretty expensive.

Wife and I kind of split the shopping detail. We were talking about it last night, what is still in shorter supply on the shelves. Up here, it seems they're selling a lot more pasta, tortillas and canned goods. Having been through that side of it, to me it looks like people trying to stretch their money. I'm sure weather and holidays play a role as well.

As I said before, this site is not the best metric by which to judge the health of the economy. It's mostly people who have had some amount of expendable income. Slowly costs are going to start creeping up on everyone, more than they have. I just received another price increase for Izusu NPR oil filters. Now 27 and change. 3rd increase in 8 months, up 10$ total. May not seem like much, but that's one of several. Fuel filters from Mopar for a Cummins? 80$ each, or knockoffs for 40$. People say those don't effect them. It doesn't directly. It effects the goods getting to their door though. Material costs are hard to cut, so where does a company cut? Either pricing increases to maintain profits, or you use less labor to accomplish the same work.

The labor force would be those requiring multiple incomes to make rent or the mortgage. Increased costs come directly from your wallet. I'm a bit confused how this is all bright and shiny. Doesn't seem great from my porch.
I hear you on judging from this site and real world. Havasu like mentioned is different. Lot go there with money or big retirements money will always be there.

But the average American is feeling a pinch and cuts are being made. Some I know have begun to ride a credit card to stretch out a desert season.not something I would do my toys are older but to me the fun is still the same less payments.

Kids these days are gonna have it tough when it comes to finding a home especially ca but even here in Phx west valley it’s going up
 

monkeyswrench

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Even from 08-12 there weren’t people dying in the streets.
Correct, they were falling from buildings, taking handfuls of sleeping pills or other means of checking out.

A few went to robbing banks, and I applauded them for their efforts;)

What I am saying is this, those who know what it's like, hopefully have learned and prepared. There are some that have never dug a ditch, or ever had to worry about making payments, or feeding their kids. I'd actually guess there are some here who had sacrificed as kids, to help their parents. Some may not care to admit to such things, but it all forms the people we are.

There are those who remember, and those who never have. I'm of the camp "Work like you're hungry, even if you're not". Not about money or getting the bright shiny car, more like some go to the gym. It keeps you from forgetting what it's like, and keeps you from forgetting where you've been.
 

stillhustlin

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So this thread is now 6 months old

Has anyone here been foreclosed on ?

Has anyone bought a property at a smoking fire sale price ?
I’ve had one project go to foreclosure and a second that will be having a trustee sale on Monday. With the way land has gone no deals yet. We are seeing prices down 30-40% on our side from the peak. Still actively looking to buy. I know a fair amount of people sitting around with a lot of money from refis on large commercial projects ready to scoop stuff up.
 

RiverDave

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Aren't you the real estate guru!

Additional Dwelling Unit.

CA has approved them to be added to any property. Our property is a R2 so 2 houses can be built. And 2 ADU. If 1 is attached it is considered a junior ADU. You can have a junior and ADU on some properties depending on setbacks.

My wife is the RE expert.. lol. I just live here
 

LargeOrangeFont

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Correct, they were falling from buildings, taking handfuls of sleeping pills or other means of checking out.

A few went to robbing banks, and I applauded them for their efforts;)

What I am saying is this, those who know what it's like, hopefully have learned and prepared. There are some that have never dug a ditch, or ever had to worry about making payments, or feeding their kids. I'd actually guess there are some here who had sacrificed as kids, to help their parents. Some may not care to admit to such things, but it all forms the people we are.

There are those who remember, and those who never have. I'm of the camp "Work like you're hungry, even if you're not". Not about money or getting the bright shiny car, more like some go to the gym. It keeps you from forgetting what it's like, and keeps you from forgetting where you've been.

The stats don’t really show a jump in people ending themselves last go around. Let’s not confuse mental health issues with financial issues. :)


More than a few people literally robbed banks last time via cash out refis and never paid them back. Those are the bank robbers I applaud. They never we’re charged or spent any time in jail.

People that were impacted financially adapted in their own way and made things work, or languished in their own troubles. Those are personal choices. Just because someone suffered pain to learn some financial lessons does not mean others needed to also suffer the same pain to learn the same lessons. Maybe they already knew them, maybe they were prepared.

Like I said, no one died in the streets from the recession and famine of 2008 :)
 

monkeyswrench

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The stats don’t really show a jump in people ending themselves last go around. Let’s not confuse mental health issues with financial issues. :)


More than a few people literally robbed banks last time via cash out refis and never paid them back. Those are the bank robbers I applaud. They never we’re charged or spent any time in jail.

People that were impacted financially adapted in their own way and made things work, or languished in their own troubles. Those are personal choices. Just because someone suffered pain to learn some financial lessons does not mean others needed to also suffer the same pain to learn the same lessons. Maybe they already knew them, maybe they were prepared.

Like I said, no one died in the streets from the recession and famine of 2008 :)
I know, but you keep repeating "This is nothing like '08...." 🤣
That, I think we all agree is somewhat true. The root causes are quite different. I just feel it's better to err on the side of caution, than preach the gospel of the government...
"Everything is fine, have no fear..." The more anyone says not to worry, the more you should worry.
 

angiebaby

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So this thread is now 6 months old

Has anyone here been foreclosed on ?

Has anyone bought a property at a smoking fire sale price ?

Perhaps not, but it's pretty well established that the month that this thread began was the peak of the residential real estate market. Prices have fallen (though not substantially) every month since with a total drop in the median price 14% nationwide according to the National Association of Realtors.

I believe the original post stated that if you were looking to sell your home, you'd better hurry up and do it. Apparently, he wasn't wrong. Sure, many people have still been able to sell their homes, but overall, prices have come down from the top of the market.

Because I'm still actively looking for work (conveniently not counted among the unemployed), I've noticed some interesting jobs popping up lately. Namely, a lot of jobs in collections and a couple for repo men ("repo people," I guess, in this gender-fluid world of today :) ) This tells me that finance industries are preparing for something.

Or, it could mean nothing. 🤷‍♀️
 
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LargeOrangeFont

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I know, but you keep repeating "This is nothing like '08...." 🤣
That, I think we all agree is somewhat true. The root causes are quite different. I just feel it's better to err on the side of caution, than preach the gospel of the government...
"Everything is fine, have no fear..." The more anyone says not to worry, the more you should worry.

I say it because people keep saying it is “just like 08.” It is different, and the length, results and outcomes will be different.

No one in here has said everything is fine. It’s great to be cautious. I would not prepare for 2008 and walking away from your home however. I’d do prep for several possibilities.

Eggs were like $8 this morning.
 
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LargeOrangeFont

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Perhaps not, but it's pretty well established that the month thread began was the peak of the residential real estate market. Prices have fallen (though not substantially) every month since with a total drop in the median price 14% nationwide according to the National Association of Realtors.

I believe the original post stated that if you were looking to sell your home, you'd better hurry up and do it. Apparently, he wasn't wrong. Sure, many people have still been able to sell their homes, but overall, prices have come down from the top of the market.

Because I'm still actively looking for work (conveniently not counted among the unemployed), I've noticed some interesting jobs popping up lately. Namely, a lot of jobs in collections and a couple for repo men ("repo people," I guess, in this gender-fluid world of today :) ) This tells me that finance industries are preparing for something.

Or, it could mean nothing. 🤷‍♀️

We were also told in the original thread and this one that “great prices are coming very soon” and 30%-50% drops in prices in as little as 90 to 180 days. The prices have not been great, nor did they come very soon.

The lesson is It’s never as rosy or as perilous as it is made out to be. Just look at any weather report for proof :)

A collections company that was my client in 2021 and was cutting costs for 2022 just repurchased our services for 2023. I’ll find more about their business pretty soon here.
 

DC-88

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Aren't you the real estate guru!

Additional Dwelling Unit.

CA has approved them to be added to any property. Our property is a R2 so 2 houses can be built. And 2 ADU. If 1 is attached it is considered a junior ADU. You can have a junior and ADU on some properties depending on setbacks.
I've already completed a few as a part of new builds, but learned another fun fact the other day. We did our form cert rear setback on a new one a few weeks back where it's always 10' in this neighborhood I've built a bunch of new stuff in. The cut sheet came back at 9.87 but with the cert stamped good to go for all sides and ht of forms, and I was about to call my concrete guy to move the form when I realized it was written as all good... so I called my surveyor. He laughed and said look it up, 4 feet rear and sides Trumps all existing rear or side setbacks. What a joke honestly . Front setbacks still apply -
 

monkeyswrench

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I say it because people keep saying it is “just like 08.” It is different, and the length, results and outcomes will be different.

No one in here has said everything is fine. It’s great to be cautious. I would not prepare for 2008 and walking away from your home however. I’d do prep for several possibilities.

Eggs were like $8 this morning.
I ain't walkin'...paid this bitch off in '12! And eggs, loud little bastards out back better keep pulling their weight or they're pot pie filling!

I'm not much for investments and banking strategies. Insurance maybe? I just set up things so there is very little stress financially speaking. It allows me to worry about the important stuff.
 

Sportin' Wood

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Correct, they were falling from buildings, taking handfuls of sleeping pills or other means of checking out.

A few went to robbing banks, and I applauded them for their efforts;)

What I am saying is this, those who know what it's like, hopefully have learned and prepared. There are some that have never dug a ditch, or ever had to worry about making payments, or feeding their kids. I'd actually guess there are some here who had sacrificed as kids, to help their parents. Some may not care to admit to such things, but it all forms the people we are.

There are those who remember, and those who never have. I'm of the camp "Work like you're hungry, even if you're not". Not about money or getting the bright shiny car, more like some go to the gym. It keeps you from forgetting what it's like, and keeps you from forgetting where you've been.
Truth!
 

NicPaus

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I've already completed a few as a part of new builds, but learned another fun fact the other day. We did our form cert rear setback on a new one a few weeks back where it's always 10' in this neighborhood I've built a bunch of new stuff in. The cut sheet came back at 9.87 but with the cert stamped good to go for all sides and ht of forms, and I was about to call my concrete guy to move the form when I realized it was written as all good... so I called my surveyor. He laughed and said look it up, 4 feet rear and sides Trumps all existing rear or side setbacks. What a joke honestly . Front setbacks still apply -
Can't be the front unit. Or we could of left the existing house as is and called it ADU. Can be closer than a main house side and back. Some cities are different height limits.

In Redondo Beach they are converting a lot of 2 car garages into ADU. $24-3200 a month rent. Waiting on the county to convert a 2 car to one. In the hood and rent will be $2200
 

rrrr

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Job growth way higher than expected by markets in December.


The end is near.
Let's be real. Continued growth in the jobs market is sending a signal to the Fed that inflation is not decreasing. They released the minutes of their most recent meeting this week. It states that the .5% increase made in the last decision cycle was inadequate, and that larger and repeated increases will be made in 2023.

The payrolls number that the Department of Labor releases this week will be part of the Feds' reaction to market conditions, so your smug dismissal of the ADP numbers ignores the reality that increases will result in even higher interest rates, and that is eventually going to trigger the recession that just about everyone from the CEO of ChaseJPM to the barber at your local strip mall has predicted.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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Let's be real. Continued growth in the jobs market is sending a signal to the Fed that inflation is not decreasing. They released the minutes of their most recent meeting this week. It states that the .5% increase made in the last decision cycle was inadequate, and that larger and repeated increases will be made in 2023.

The payrolls number that the Department of Labor releases this week will be part of the Feds' reaction to market conditions, so your smug dismissal of the ADP numbers ignores the reality that increases will result in even higher interest rates, and that is eventually going to trigger the recession that just about everyone from the CEO of ChaseJPM to the barber at your local strip mall has predicted.

Reread my post through a sarcasm lens.

I am not dismissing the ADP numbers, the markets estimated and reacted to them.

That is exactly why markets were down today, because the Fed is not going to relent on rate increases until there is some amount of pain more than what there is today. ADP told the markets we added a quarter million jobs last month. That was not what they were hoping for.

We are already in a recession by every pre 2021 definition.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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rrrr

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Reread my post through a sarcasm lens.

I am not dismissing the ADP numbers, the markets estimated and reacted to them.

That is exactly why markets were down today, because the Fed is not going to relent on rate increases until there is some amount of pain more than what there is today. ADP told the markets we added a quarter million jobs last month. That was not what they were hoping for.

We are already in a recession by every pre 2021 definition.
I got the sarcasm.
 

DC-88

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Can't be the front unit. Or we could of left the existing house as is and called it ADU. Can be closer than a main house side and back. Some cities are different height limits.

In Redondo Beach they are converting a lot of 2 car garages into ADU. $24-3200 a month rent. Waiting on the county to convert a 2 car to one. In the hood and rent will be $2200
Is the existing front unit on yours a pre - existing + non conforming front setback, or over 800 -1200 sq ft? Over 16' high ? I have one going on the front of a new build over the front garage 15' regular front setback with 450 sq ft ADU full kitchen / stackable w/d on top. Set back on the side is 42" because this neighborhood is 3' side anyway, but from what I've gathered it's 4' rear and sides no matter what anyone says for these things if pushed. I may convert my rear garage on alley to a 1 car since it already had a toilet / 3" trunk line, but although I like individuals.... I hate people enough to not want a tenant on my own property lol -
 

NicPaus

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Is the existing front unit on yours a pre - existing + non conforming front setback, or over 800 -1200 sq ft? Over 16' high ? I have one going on the front of a new build over the front garage 15' regular front setback with 450 sq ft ADU full kitchen / stackable w/d on top. Set back on the side is 42" because this neighborhood is 3' side anyway, but from what I've gathered it's 4' rear and sides no matter what anyone says for these things if pushed. I may convert my rear garage on alley to a 1 car since it already had a toilet / 3" trunk line, but although I like individuals.... I hate people enough to not want a tenant on my own property lol -

The property we are building on the front house is just under 1100 sq ft. ADU can't be larger than the house. Sp we are adding on to house. So that the detached ADU can be max size 1200 sq ft. Setbacks are good. The front house can't be the ADU from what LA city planner said. He was the one who mentioned adding the junior ADU to it since it will be getting added on to. House was originally going to be torn down. But build costs make it cheaper to keep. I also rehabbed it 8 years ago so most the work on existing is new. Add onto the back. That property I am partners on with my Dad. We have been fighting for a year or more on what to do.

My current property I bought has a ADU that is 1' off the property line existing. I thought about tearing it down. But have decided with rent to keep it. One of my guys or a nephew could rent for a reduced rate and watch my dogs when I go on vacation. Not trying to rent to a random. Although it would fetch $600 or so more for going rate. I could add a junior ADU on top of garage I am having drawn up. But trying to avoid 2 story and engineering. I could also build a bigger garage and tear down existing ADU and ad it to over garage. But that adds a lot of cost. As they may require solar and fire sprinklers for new ADU. Putting the addition on house and new garage I hope I can avoid those extra costs.

My
 

Gonefishin5555

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The property we are building on the front house is just under 1100 sq ft. ADU can't be larger than the house. Sp we are adding on to house. So that the detached ADU can be max size 1200 sq ft. Setbacks are good. The front house can't be the ADU from what LA city planner said. He was the one who mentioned adding the junior ADU to it since it will be getting added on to. House was originally going to be torn down. But build costs make it cheaper to keep. I also rehabbed it 8 years ago so most the work on existing is new. Add onto the back. That property I am partners on with my Dad. We have been fighting for a year or more on what to do.

My current property I bought has a ADU that is 1' off the property line existing. I thought about tearing it down. But have decided with rent to keep it. One of my guys or a nephew could rent for a reduced rate and watch my dogs when I go on vacation. Not trying to rent to a random. Although it would fetch $600 or so more for going rate. I could add a junior ADU on top of garage I am having drawn up. But trying to avoid 2 story and engineering. I could also build a bigger garage and tear down existing ADU and ad it to over garage. But that adds a lot of cost. As they may require solar and fire sprinklers for new ADU. Putting the addition on house and new garage I hope I can avoid those extra costs.

My
I dig this ADU stuff my daughter is going to buy a house in Long Beach. I told her it had to have ADU potential so I can have a place to live after I sell my place.
 

badgas

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Perhaps not, but it's pretty well established that the month thread began was the peak of the residential real estate market. Prices have fallen (though not substantially) every month since with a total drop in the median price 14% nationwide according to the National Association of Realtors.

I believe the original post stated that if you were looking to sell your home, you'd better hurry up and do it. Apparently, he wasn't wrong. Sure, many people have still been able to sell their homes, but overall, prices have come down from the top of the market.

Because I'm still actively looking for work (conveniently not counted among the unemployed), I've noticed some interesting jobs popping up lately. Namely, a lot of jobs in collections and a couple for repo men ("repo people," I guess, in this gender-fluid world of today :) ) This tells me that finance industries are preparing for something.

Or, it could mean nothing. 🤷‍♀️
Collections ? Massive amounts of CC debt out there.
Repo men ? There should be an auto bubble bursting. Defaults are going way up on auto loans and lenders were letting people finance cars up to 140% fo of the vehicle value.

Someone buys a $30,000 Camry for $42,000+ tax and has $46,000 in debt on a car that is now worth $25,000 I do think a you will see a car prices take it on the chin.


I purchased a Used Tesla Model 3 ( CPO from Tesla ) for $31,600 two weeks ago. My buddy sold the identical build and same miles for $44,000 15 months ago to a flipper. The car market is dropping for sure
 

NicPaus

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I dig this ADU stuff my daughter is going to buy a house in Long Beach. I told her it had to have ADU potential so I can have a place to live after I sell my place.
I just got off the phone not long ago. Referral from here for a ADU in Long beach. Signal hill to be exact. Going by next week to check it out. Existing structure to be converted. I mentioned $2200 a month rent and they feel 2k is more realistic.

Long Beach prices have sure gone up. Helping one of my Sisters ad a second bathroom currently to there LB house. 3rd kid they need 2 bathrooms. Inspector has been the easiest to deal with a long with the city.
 

Gonefishin5555

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I just got off the phone not long ago. Referral from here for a ADU in Long beach. Signal hill to be exact. Going by next week to check it out. Existing structure to be converted. I mentioned $2200 a month rent and they feel 2k is more realistic.

Long Beach prices have sure gone up. Helping one of my Sisters ad a second bathroom currently to there LB house. 3rd kid they need 2 bathrooms. Inspector has been the easiest to deal with a long with the city.
She is renting in Bixby Knolls $1800 1br apt its been updated and is pretty nice. Its under market price a little I think anything decent or certainly new construction is going to be $2.2 a month or more.
 

petie6464

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Pretty much what I did in '12. The goal was to bring living expenses down (and blood pressure). With 5 in the house, including 2 teenage boys, groceries are out of hand. One boy is working out heavily, and could out eat a horse. The other kind of requires a particular diet. Turns out, the healthy stuff is pretty expensive.

Wife and I kind of split the shopping detail. We were talking about it last night, what is still in shorter supply on the shelves. Up here, it seems they're selling a lot more pasta, tortillas and canned goods. Having been through that side of it, to me it looks like people trying to stretch their money. I'm sure weather and holidays play a role as well.

As I said before, this site is not the best metric by which to judge the health of the economy. It's mostly people who have had some amount of expendable income. Slowly costs are going to start creeping up on everyone, more than they have. I just received another price increase for Izusu NPR oil filters. Now 27 and change. 3rd increase in 8 months, up 10$ total. May not seem like much, but that's one of several. Fuel filters from Mopar for a Cummins? 80$ each, or knockoffs for 40$. People say those don't effect them. It doesn't directly. It effects the goods getting to their door though. Material costs are hard to cut, so where does a company cut? Either pricing increases to maintain profits, or you use less labor to accomplish the same work.

The labor force would be those requiring multiple incomes to make rent or the mortgage. Increased costs come directly from your wallet. I'm a bit confused how this is all bright and shiny. Doesn't seem great from my porch.
Five to feed. . Thats gotta be 3-4+ a month in groceries?
 

PaPaG

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We were also told in the original thread and this one that “great prices are coming very soon” and 30%-50% drops in prices in as little as 90 to 180 days. The prices have not been great, nor did they come very soon.

The lesson is It’s never as rosy or as perilous as it is made out to be. Just look at any weather report for proof :)

A collections company that was my client in 2021 and was cutting costs for 2022 just repurchased our services for 2023. I’ll find more about their business pretty soon here.
We were NEVER TOLD prices will come down 30-40% in the original post, there you go again making up things to support your views. Great prices are coming, once evaluated I gave it 6-18 months and another 2 years of downturns which would put us up to the end of 2023 and mid 2024 for some great prices, I even made adjustments in the timeline if needed and said the market will adjust to the feds continual increases down the road as is fact.
Here is the copy of the original post which you seem to misquote all the time again to support your view.

My Original Post: JP Morgan Chase just announced a layoff of at least 1000 people and more to come due to the drastic drop in both housing purchases credited to CRAZY HOUSING MARKET slowing correcting and the doubling of interest rates..Redfin, Realtor.com did the same...YOU'VE seen Nothing YET.......if you planned on selling I hope you got it done or soon...if not expect some changes very soon. On the other hand, if you are a potential cash buyer TONS of great opportunities around the corner and from what I am guessing another 2 years of downturn and great prices to start very soon....
 

LargeOrangeFont

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We were NEVER TOLD prices will come down 30-40% in the original post, there you go again making up things to support your views.

Show me where I said anything about the original posts of either thread…. and after that I’ll show you who’s making things up again :)

You keep forgetting I’m the one that sold at the peak before any of your threads regarding hat holding. 🤣
 

PaPaG

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Welp for all the fact finders, unemployment fell to 3.5%.

Does the 18 month clock until financial armageddon and half off river houses start again today?

Actually if you read all the updated news you would see new hires slowed dramatically and so did manufacturing. Exactly what the Fed is working towards.
og7RWyBb
 

LargeOrangeFont

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Actually if you read all the updated news you would see new hires slowed dramatically and so did manufacturing. Exactly what the Fed is working towards.
og7RWyBb

That’s what happens in a recession….

Like I’ve said for 8 years - You aren’t going to see housing prices collapse or financial armageddon until people start loosing jobs by the millions.. we are still HIRING.
 

PaPaG

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Show me where I said anything about the original posts of either thread…. and after that I’ll show you who’s making things up again :)

You keep forgetting I’m the one that sold at the peak before any of your threads regarding hat holding. 🤣
Read your post....and I am glad you sold before the Drop finally glad you admitted price drops where and are coming so you sold lol. You seem to embellish all the time about facts when you are confronted with facts, I only posted this one thread not THREADS, and here is your post only a few posts ago...

LargeOrangeFont said:
We were also told in the original thread and this one that “great prices are coming very soon” and 30%-50% drops in prices in as little as 90 to 180 days. The prices have not been great, nor did they come very soon.

The lesson is It’s never as rosy or as perilous as it is made out to be. Just look at any weather report for proof :)

A collections company that was my client in 2021 and was cutting costs for 2022 just repurchased our services for 2023. I’ll find more about their business pretty soon here.
 

PaPaG

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That’s what happens in a recession….

Like I’ve said for 8 years - You aren’t going to see housing prices collapse or financial armageddon until people start loosing jobs by the millions.. we are still HIRING.
lol so you say job losses have to hit the MILLIONS for a housing prices collapse? And the facts show jobs are slowing it is happening. NO Armageddon as you state, those are your words to try to deter or deflect from the facts.

If you ever quit exaggerating and posted facts and just discussed a topic vs going so overboard you would be taken a bit more seriously.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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Read your post....and I am glad you sold before the Drop finally glad you admitted price drops where and are coming so you sold lol. You seem to embellish all the time about facts when you are confronted with facts, I only posted this one thread not THREADS, and here is your post only a few posts ago...

LargeOrangeFont said:
We were also told in the original thread and this one that “great prices are coming very soon” and 30%-50% drops in prices in as little as 90 to 180 days. The prices have not been great, nor did they come very soon.

The lesson is It’s never as rosy or as perilous as it is made out to be. Just look at any weather report for proof :)

A collections company that was my client in 2021 and was cutting costs for 2022 just repurchased our services for 2023. I’ll find more about their business pretty soon here.

Where again are the words “original posts” as you claimed? Why are you taking it as if I personally said you made the claims?

This is why we can’t take you and your FACT finding seriously… 😉 you read what you want and ignore everything else.

I knew price drops were coming in April ‘22…. Seemingly before you did?

I never said there won’t be price drops due to higher interest rates. I said we aren’t heading for a collapse in housing prices in 2022 or 2023 (18 months).
 

Cdog

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Maybe they will learn to code 🤣.
God I hope so. Interestingly enough it appears we are in for labor shortages, higher wages and stubborn inflation for years to come. Boomers are retiring in the largest mass this year and leaving vacant seats they held onto for decades.

So many radical things and perfect storms I don't think anyone can totally predict anything other than it's going to be different moving forward
 

PaPaG

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Where again are the words “original posts” as you claimed? Why are you taking it as if I personally said you made the claims?

This is why we can’t take you and your FACT finding seriously… 😉 you read what you want.

I knew price drops were coming in April ‘22…. Seemingly before you did?

I never said there won’t be price drops due to higher interest rates. I said we aren’t heading for a collapse in housing prices in 2022 or 2023 (18 months).
There you go again assuming. I sold all but 1 of my investment properties by the end of 2021 while prices were on the rise and yes I could have waited and made more money if I waited a bit but I like to get out earlier than later, sold the final one that we lived in at the end of March 2022. So once again you are wrong. I don't care if you take my fact finding seriously since I only post facts I research vs just spout off so I know I have data proving the statements.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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God I hope so. Interestingly enough it appears we are in for labor shortages, higher wages and stubborn inflation for years to come. Boomers are retiring in the largest mass this year and leaving vacant seats they held onto for decades.

So many radical things and perfect storms I don't think anyone can totally predict anything other than it's going to be different moving forward

Agreed 100%. I think this is gonna be a bumpy road for several years, not a deep crevice we fall into and climb out of in a year.
 

COCA COLA COWBOY

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30% Of All Realtors Could Quit During Housing Crash

teaser image
"The Housing Bubble has popped, but the Bubble mentality has NOT. 1.6 Million Realtors are still "holding on," thinking the Housing Market will improve in 2023."

THU JAN 5, AT 5:00 PM


I think they're onto yore thread boys.............................😝


Funny, the board of realtors told me that 30% of realtors are not continuing their membership this year and they anticipate them letting their licenses go.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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There you go again assuming. I sold all but 1 of my investment properties by the end of 2021 while prices were on the rise and yes I could have waited and made more money if I waited a bit but I like to get out earlier than later, sold the final one that we lived in at the end of March 2022. So once again you are wrong. I don't care if you take my fact finding seriously since I only post facts I research vs just spout off so I know I have data proving the statements.

By yore own definition you you seemingly messed up and probably left another 7-10% on the tables from those 2021 sales.

Unbeliefable.

I have a meeting now. Thanks for the entertainment.
 

PaPaG

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By yore own definition you you seemingly messed up and probably left another 7-10% on the tables from those 2021 sales.

Unbeliefable.

I have a meeting now. Thanks for the entertainment.
I lost roughly 5% of further profit over what I made on the investments according to my figures but made the differences plus some investing the money in the stock market.
LOF telling anyone thanks for the entertainment, pot/kettle, lol....
 
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