was thatguy
living in a cage of fear
- Joined
- Apr 28, 2008
- Messages
- 53,165
- Reaction score
- 101,632
The future of propulsion is in magnetics.
Tesla buyers are not buying P100D ludicrous for 150k because they are saving the planet, they are buying it because it is an emotional purchase no different than someone driving a 488GTB every day in traffic or buying a big boat.
Is Tesla a long-term business model that can succeed? Who knows?
But the buyer of the P100D doesn't really give a shit, he just cares he has a car that can at least til the next light give the 488 a run for its money.
The future of propulsion is in magnetics.
"Unless someone rewires the universe, no large change is coming in regards to battery storage"
That's what I took from that. The supposed properties of solid-state batteries (lighter weight per amp/hour storage, more cycles in its life span, ability to be further discharged without causing damage, etc) would lend themselves VERY well to mobile platforms.
There won't be any quantum leaps, or order of magnitude advances in chemical batteries.
R&D is a good thing, and advances are always welcome.
Now if you want to talk over the horizon technology, we can go into things like room temperature super-conductor motors and circuits.
Battery tech will always be a stop gap, since even using very durable (expensive) materials you are still using chemical reactions to generate electron flow.
Once someone comes out with a fission or fusion generator, THEN you will see the entire world change.
Until that point, IMO, it's a constant dog and pony show merry-go-round where nothing is really getting fixed, they are just swapping the blame to something that is politically or media "buzz" currently.
.
I think chemical batteries have reached a dead end. There's no magic discovery there waiting to happen.
People are so used to incredible advances in semiconductors and computing they assume a miracle is forthcoming in batteries. I routinely see posts on forums I frequent that say something like "battery capacities are going to double in the next XX years".
They don't have a minute's worth of scientific education, and no knowledge of chemistry and physics, but they make these pronouncements as if they are fact.
I would still rather have the Ferrari...nothing like that sweet sound on the pipe...
Would you invest in tesla?
https://news.utexas.edu/2017/10/31/texas-engineers-develop-new-material-for-better-batteries.
I think chemical batteries have reached a dead end. There's no magic discovery there waiting to happen.
That car is gorgeous!The v8's are twin turbo now. They don't make much noise and are pretty quiet.
No I would not but I am a fundamentalist, not a momentum player.
But my brother had a model S with over 100k miles and loved it and now has a model X with over 12k and loves it. His model S went coast to coast no problem.
Me, I am more into wasting my money on pollution.......
View attachment 600797
IF 100 of your neighbors (2 mile radius) came home from work between 4.00PM and 7.00PM, each plugged in their car when they got home, how much would that effect your local power grid ? Now consider that kind of LOAD, nationwide, all at the same hours .
Battery tech will always be a stop gap, since even using very durable (expensive) materials you are still using chemical reactions to generate electron flow.
Once someone comes out with a fission or fusion generator, THEN you will see the entire world change.
Until that point, IMO, it's a constant dog and pony show merry-go-round where nothing is really getting fixed, they are just swapping the blame to something that is politically or media "buzz" currently.
The one thing that is never mentioned in this battery technology or even solar panels, is the amount of energy and the environmental costs of the raw materials needed to create them.
There are the mines where these materials come from and the copious amounts of carbon fuels to power the machines to excavate those materials. Then there is the amount of energy to refine these materials into pure enough forms to actually create the things they are used in. Then there is the energy used to actually create these things.
The real question needs to be asked.....if we were to calculate the total energy input and then subtract that from the total energy output over the expected useful life. Is that number less than or equal to zero, or is there a net positive? If it is positive, what percentage positive?
We never seem to get an answer to that question.
On this one particular point above, the answer is ZERO. The utility industry is smart enough to have already built in time of day pricing to move that load into a better time window through pricing incentives. The grid is more than adequate to handle large increases in EV demand. The focus on grid modernization is flattening the demand curve to serve the load. The electric utility industry is bullish on EVs. The national demand for electricity across the states is down due to efficiency gains across the spectrum. There are time when electricity may be free, or in the case of California, California has to pay us generators in Arizona to take their excess power. But don't worry the
The v8's are twin turbo now. They don't make much noise and are pretty quiet.
They still SOUND like a Ferrari though, V8, V12 whatever...when you grab third gear with the pedal mashed hard and hit triple digits fast...nothing like it.
They can make all the electric cars they want faster than shit...still boring as fuck.
Driving a fast car has always been an "experience" for me..the smells, the noise, the adrenaline...
Take that away you might as well be driving a fucking sewing machine.
i wonder who hurts more feelings, Model S or outboards lol
i wonder who hurts more feelings, Model S or outboards lol
Just my opinion but you described 95% of E63, M5, and RS owners lolThe only people that think they are fast don't go over 80.
Stoplight to stoplight they can be quick to very quick depending on the model. This is the only place they shine. From a roll or at high speed, it feels like an average sedan. They hold the road decently, and are nice to drive. It is not a sports car however.
.
This is the Norwegian Epic, a 1,000' long cruise ship weighing in at 156,000 GRT. It carries 4,100 passengers and has a crew of 1,700.
It cost $1 billion dollars to build.
Tesla is going to lose over $2 billion in 2017, enough to build two copies of the Epic.
Perhaps this will help some of you understand their financial troubles in a less abstract manner than an amount on a webpage.
I could give two ships about how much money they're losing, Elon Musk is still a genius..
This is the Norwegian Epic, a 1,000' long cruise ship weighing in at 156,000 GRT. It carries 4,100 passengers and has a crew of 1,700.
It cost $1 billion dollars to build.
Tesla is going to lose over $2 billion in 2017, enough to build two copies of the Epic.
Perhaps this will help some of you understand their financial troubles in a less abstract manner than an amount on a webpage.
I think at that point, you would have a bad ass shipThat certainly puts things in perspective. If I were Musk, I'd turn the lights off in the tesla plant on the first of the year and have a cruise ship built for myself instead. The shareholders would be less pissed since I cut losses 50% compared to last year, plus I'd have a bad ass boat.
That certainly puts things in perspective. If I were Musk, I'd turn the lights off in the tesla plant on the first of the year and have a cruise ship built for myself instead. The shareholders would be less pissed since I cut losses 50% compared to last year, plus I'd have a bad ass boat.
Not trying to sound like a complete dick as you hear it enough from everyone else, but it's not your hard earned money he is losing, it's mine and RD's rrrr's rivermobsters etc..... He is a genius in the fact he has found a way to steal money (tax money) from the government without any repercussions.I could give two ships about how much money they're losing, Elon Musk is still a genius.
Not trying to sound like a complete dick as you hear it enough from everyone else, but it's not your hard earned money he is losing, it's mine and RD's rrrr's rivermobsters etc..... He is a genius in the fact he has found a way to steal money (tax money) from the government without any repercussions.
.
This is the Norwegian Epic, a 1,000' long cruise ship weighing in at 156,000 GRT. It carries 4,100 passengers and has a crew of 1,700.
It cost $1 billion dollars to build.
Tesla is going to lose over $2 billion in 2017, enough to build two copies of the Epic.
Perhaps this will help some of you understand their financial troubles in a less abstract manner than an amount on a webpage.
That ship is also driven by two electric high torque density induction motors, sort of like a Tesla...........
It only burns fossil fuels to make electricity...
Just my opinion but you described 95% of E63, M5, and RS owners lol
Any thoughts as to how far it will "collapse" to?
1/3/5 years?
UD
That ship is also driven by two electric high torque density induction motors, sort of like a Tesla...........
It only burns fossil fuels to make electricity...
I don't think it will collapse, I think it will settle into what it really is.. a boutique car company... or they will be bought out by some other company.
George, don't forget that Tesla sells a lot of cars that aren't the Mode 3, 2,000+ per month in the US alone, and 20,000 cars globally per quarter, and to the tune of $3B per quarter in sales (before losses of course).
If you feel the Model S is not a viable product, then the Mercedes-Benz S-Class, Audi A7/A8, Porsche Panamera, Lexus LS and the entire class of prestige-luxury sedans are also not viable products, because Tesla outsells them all.
Whether or not the company is a viable business is certainly up for debate, but they sell a lot of very expensive cars and all luxury carmakers are scrambling to put products to market to counter.
But your posts almost make it sound like they aren't selling any cars at all.
I could give two ships about how much money they're losing, Elon Musk is still a genius.
George, if selling $100k+++ electric cars is such a losing proposition, why on earth is every carmaker spending cubic dollars to bring competitors to market, in essence following Tesla off the cliff?
George, if selling $100k+++ electric cars is such a losing proposition, why on earth is every carmaker spending cubic dollars to bring competitors to market, in essence following Tesla off the cliff?
George, if selling $100k+++ electric cars is such a losing proposition, why on earth is every carmaker spending cubic dollars to bring competitors to market, in essence following Tesla off the cliff?
George, Asia and Europe literally subsidize all automakers, and not just EV's.
The government of Lower Saxony owns 30% of VW as an example.
That ship is also driven by two electric high torque density induction motors, sort of like a Tesla...........
It only burns fossil fuels to make electricity...
George, Asia and Europe literally subsidize all automakers, and not just EV's.
The government of Lower Sadony owns 30% of VW as an example.
And the Japanese government has been accused of manipulating their currency to keep automaker profits high.
And then we can add in subsidies on the purchasing end for EV's which (depending on region) are often significantly more than US tax credits.
You seem to take an aggressive "you must be a Tesla lover" tone to anything that doesn't agree with you 100%.
I've spelled out issues I have with the company, but am not so jaded to dismiss how they manage to generate cash to the tune of $10B /annually, either.
Or that they have a product that's so far without peer, and an owner demographic that's quite impressive from a marketing POV.
And your figures are flat wrong that it costs them 200% more to produce than the selling price. If that was the case, and when you add-in their reinvestment costs to own the verticals for battery production, their losses would be significantly more staggering than they are now.
Their car making operations aren't losing $5B annually. I have no idea where you're getting this info from.