WELCOME TO RIVER DAVES PLACE

End of days. Doom and gloom. 😉

monkeyswrench

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I have some unsettling news for those planning to head to rural areas to live off the land. Please start by having a destination AND an invitation. The people living the rural life have been expecting you for years and are Masters of Supply Management. The math is easy once you understand it and it doesn't favor hordes of people bugging out.
Wildlife within any reasonable distance of socal is not abundant enough to cover the number of people that think they will become hunter/gatherers overnight. The families salty enough to live the rural life in the first place are salty enough to protect that way of life with little to no delays at the trigger finger. Flush with backhoes or hungry pigs that recently ran out of bagged feed from Tractor Supply- rural pursuits might not always have a happy ending.
Best bet is to stay in place if possible. Your home is stocked (or should be) and easily defendable compared to a car on the open but congested highway. You know where everything is on a short run and muscle memory guides your movements as needed. Home is also very comforting in stressful times, especially for a family looking to you for guidance and comfort.
Over the last decade, I've sat in on several community "what if" discussions with our rural neighbors. There's always a few loud mouths that beat their chests (typically the newer property owners)- whatever....... The calm and cool conversations the seasoned folks have about this or worse, the deafening silence from the longtime residents that rarely do more than nod in agreement leaves me no doubt that heading to these areas should be a last resort.
I read many years ago something that said almost exactly the same things. It's stuck with me. Home field advantage is a serious thing.

A group of panicked, tired and hungry people, lost and roaming the hills, would be of no sustainable threat to those that work to live there everyday. There's a good reason you don't see people pick on the young cowboys in a bar. On their terf, their own land?

"Midget" is my friend's son. About 24 now I think. He took after his mom, brothers are about 6ft, he's 5'7" or so. He's an actual cowboy, herds cattle for the ranchers, rides horses...pretty unreal for me to know one. I've watched him buck bales loading a truck. 3 string bales, 4 high on a flatbed truck.
Midget...I'd hate to see what his brothers or dad could do.
 

wash11

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I read many years ago something that said almost exactly the same things. It's stuck with me. Home field advantage is a serious thing.

A group of panicked, tired and hungry people, lost and roaming the hills, would be of no sustainable threat to those that work to live there everyday. There's a good reason you don't see people pick on the young cowboys in a bar. On their terf, their own land?

"Midget" is my friend's son. About 24 now I think. He took after his mom, brothers are about 6ft, he's 5'7" or so. He's an actual cowboy, herds cattle for the ranchers, rides horses...pretty unreal for me to know one. I've watched him buck bales loading a truck. 3 string bales, 4 high on a flatbed truck.
Midget...I'd hate to see what his brothers or dad could do.
You know frightens me the most? The mothers that raise those kids. And, if you know those kids, you know they don't venture too far from mom for more than a few months at a time.
 

bk2drvr

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Totally scenario dependent. Imagine the 101 being blockaded in Ventura, the 5 at the trucking split before the 14, the 405/22/605 the 5 at San Onofre, the 91 at green river, the 15 at Cajon Pass at the 138 split & the 10 & 210 around the 57 & the 10 again at the 111 & Indio & SD locked in at the 8 & 15 N.

Because that’s going to be the reality. If you’re in LA county you’re likely fucked. Bug in harden your defenses.

If you’re in OC, particularly in the elevated areas from Brea, yorba Linda, AH & follow down to HB you’re probably going to be okay. Still harden up & team up with like minded folks.
This is the exact scenario where a dirt bike may the only option if/when you wanted to leave. Or you walk out, which isn’t impossible if you’re in shape.
 

monkeyswrench

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You know frightens me the most? The mothers that raise those kids. And, if you know those kids, you know they don't venture too far from mom for more than a few months at a time.
Have to laugh, I do fear their mom more than the boys! She's short and a little rotund, but keeps that homestead in check.
Probably much the same all over. Mother bear by all means.
 

Lucky Larry

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Agreed but I cant put a family on one bike lol.
Au contraire, how big is your family???

“Mrs.”

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angiebaby

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One more thing to consider for those who plan to drive to Havasu or other location in the event of an earthquake or other scenario. How much fuel do you keep in your vehicle? Before my gauge gets to half, I fill it up. We also have 10 gallons of fuel available in storage. We can go nearly 500 miles on a full tank. The motorhome currently has almost a full tank. It can go 1000 miles. Won't get us home, but it will get us closer.

If you live in SoCal and an earthquake happened today, do you currently have enough fuel to get out? Of course, this is hypothetical because most likely, the freeways would be busted up and clogged. But the question remains. There will be no stopping for fuel until you get well out of ground zero. No power, no time, and no safety.
 

BabyRay

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I have some unsettling news for those planning to head to rural areas to live off the land. Please start by having a destination AND an invitation. The people living the rural life have been expecting you for years and are Masters of Supply Management. The math is easy once you understand it and it doesn't favor hordes of people bugging out.
Wildlife within any reasonable distance of socal is not abundant enough to cover the number of people that think they will become hunter/gatherers overnight. The families salty enough to live the rural life in the first place are salty enough to protect that way of life with little to no delays at the trigger finger. Flush with backhoes or hungry pigs that recently ran out of bagged feed from Tractor Supply- rural pursuits might not always have a happy ending.
Best bet is to stay in place if possible. Your home is stocked (or should be) and easily defendable compared to a car on the open but congested highway. You know where everything is on a short run and muscle memory guides your movements as needed. Home is also very comforting in stressful times, especially for a family looking to you for guidance and comfort.
Over the last decade, I've sat in on several community "what if" discussions with our rural neighbors. There's always a few loud mouths that beat their chests (typically the newer property owners)- whatever....... The calm and cool conversations the seasoned folks have about this or worse, the deafening silence from the longtime residents that rarely do more than nod in agreement leaves me no doubt that heading to these areas should be a last resort.
A well-founded warning, I’m sure. As I read the comments about leaving homes, I thought many would learn exactly what you’ve described. In such circumstances, many would take the approach of shoot first and ask questions later. Doing otherwise would put themselves and family at risk.

I figure I’ll stay put as long as possible. We have a good bunch of people in a reasonably defensible neighborhood (my home being one of the best 😉), with plenty of defensive tools, canned and dry food for at least a month, and dehydrated food for another month. Water may be our biggest concern, though we could at least set up a rain collection system very easily (which wouldn’t be of much use in the summer around here…I guess I’d better add to my bottled stock.). Secondarily, heat may be an issue in the cooler months, as fueling generators for more than a week may become a problem if either infrastructure is damaged or it becomes unsafe to leave home. I have access to weapons if they aren’t rusted at the bottom of the lake, many magazines for quick reloading, and common repair parts if needed. I also have plenty of ammo for defense or trading, as well as cash and silver on-hand. And if it doesn’t work out, Fuck it, we’re getting old anyway and it’s been a good ride. 😂

My biggest concern would be my daughter and her family, as they don’t take this stuff seriously….no preparation whatsoever. I’ve stocked up with them in mind, but their home is 2 miles away, and worse yet they might be at work or school when the SHTF. ☹️ My plan, as I’ve told them, is to take backroads to their home, on foot, well armed, and escort them back here. If they’re not there, they know to attempt to reach my home. In the meantime, it would be up to my wife to defend against potential looters at our home. If anybody does make it inside, our Ridgeback is 70 lbs and headed to 90, is protective by nature, and will soon be going through protection training with the guy who trains dogs for our local sheriff’s department, so they better shoot that pup quickly or they’re gonna be hurting. Though it might be difficult to leave my wife alone, she is quite capable, and I’m sure would not hesitate to do what is necessary. ☠️
 

HB2Havasu

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Strap a gas can to my dual sport and ride all dirt roads from IE to Havasu.
That is pretty much my plan besides strapping on my Bug Out Bag. I have a desert tank on my Dual Sport, but I would still have to find at least an extra 3 gallons along the way to make it to our place in Havasu. It would be hard to carry that much extra gasoline.
 

pronstar

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Keep in mind, if you think a few guys with guns can defend a position, think again.

You’ll likely have 4 directions to monitor, that’s 4 people. Let’s say 8 hour shifts, and you’ll need 3 shifts…that’s a lot of people right there just watching, let alone defending, the perimeter, not doing anything else.

If you think it’s gonna be fun BBQ’ing…think again. You’ve just alerted the hungry masses that you have food.




I need a bunker…



Edit:
Math is hard
 
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BabyRay

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Keep in mind, if you think a few guys with guns can defend a position, think again.

You’ll likely have 4 directions to monitor, that’s 4 people. Let’s say 8 hour shifts, and you’ll need 3 shifts…that’s 24 people right there just watching, let alone defending, the perimeter, not doing anything else.

If you think it’s gonna be fun BBQ’ing…think again. You’ve just alerted the hungry masses that you have food.




I need a bunker…
Good point. We’re fortunate that it’d be difficult for anyone to approach our home from the rear, as the blackberry bushes at the rear of our neighborhood are nearly impassable, with no path through them. They’d have to be REALLY motivated to try that, would be worn out by the time they made it through, and would make far too much noise to go unnoticed as they hacked away at the vines. As to the number of people, I think you made a math error…3x4=12. With 3 sides to protect, it’d be 9 people. We have 11 homes, and have a few good neighbors outside the fence who we’d invite in, provided they can bring supplies and are willing to deal with intruders. If they don’t match those requirements,I guess we’d have to consider them to be among the horde.

BBQ? Nope. I’m not planning on that at all. It’ll be on the gas range, heated on a camp stove, or eaten cold. That uncooked pasta is gonna suck though.

Of course, this is all hoping for the best. I realize I’m probably screwed. 😂
 

LargeOrangeFont

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I don’t think we would by any means. But if So Cal is banged up for a few weeks we’d like to use our AZ home.

This was our thought too. There are very few emergencies where you’d have lack of services, martial law or unrest 300 miles away in Havasu as well as all across So Cal.
 
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Danger Dave

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"I hope that those of you planning to group together as a neighborhood are being inclusive to your unhoused community members, and make sure your survivor group is diverse to include people from all genders." - New Southern Utah Residents

"Does anyone know if the Tesla chargers will be still working during this scenario?" - Hipster Liberals
 

jetboatperformance

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FWIW this is some awesome easy reading , I bought this sometime back and being a "Mc kiver" type learned a lot ....
 

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jailbird141

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Keep in mind, if you think a few guys with guns can defend a position, think again.

You’ll likely have 4 directions to monitor, that’s 4 people. Let’s say 8 hour shifts, and you’ll need 3 shifts…that’s 24 people right there just watching, let alone defending, the perimeter, not doing anything else.

If you think it’s gonna be fun BBQ’ing…think again. You’ve just alerted the hungry masses that you have food.




I need a bunker…
How do the bodies of dead people that tried to take a position factor into your math? How many people, armed or unarmed, that are scavenging for supplies, do you think would try to take a position with multiple bodies scattered around it of people that had the same idea and failed? I do not consider myself an expert on defensive strategy or site security by any means. But I have learned one or two things in my life and I would argue that a position, such as a home or other small fortification could be held with a LOT less than 24 people. Just my .02 but 4-5 to hold a residence would be doable. Probably not even that many if the mob attacking your position was unorganized, untrained, poorly armed and not thinking clearly. Just throwing it out there for conversation.
 

thmterry

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I think you start by living in rural areas. In Ridgecrest We had 7.1 and a 6.4 earthquakes in the same 24 hours. Yes there was damage but we didn't have skyscrapers falling down,, freeways buckling, grid lock or anything we couldn't deal with for a couple days. We have wells, generators, guns, solar on 60% of houses, dirt roads everywhere and still Socal weather.

Its you city folk that need to be concerned.
 
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Gonefishin5555

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Any chance Arizona tries to close its doors to CA people? They have a pretty good barrier set up by the river
 

RiverDave

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We went from Thomas guides to stacking bodies pretty damn fast.

You didn’t layout the scenario.. in my head we are already at our bug out place.. you are standing at the gates armed, and I’m zeroing in on a near empty propane tank that’s in a box next to the side of the entrance.. 😳. I had assumed total anarchy when you posed the thread?

If your talking about an earth quake, it would be open arms and welcome to the neighborhood..
 

EmpirE231

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What cracks me up more than "stacking bodies" are the people that think they are gonna just go and take what they need from people who have prepared. Some people have watched wayyy too much rambo lol
 

bk2drvr

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I think you would have to assess the situation at hand. There are some great points made in this thread but the decision of what do would depend on the situation. All i know about myself is that if a major natural disaster was to occur I would probably want to get away from mass population. A case were electricity would be down in socal for 4-6 weeks would have me moving quickly out to the river house. lol.... If you look at other natural disasters that have occured in the US they never shut down interstates. People leave all the time when stuff like this happens. Look at hurrican Ian recently and Super Storm Sandy in NY and the Jersey shore is a great example of a likely scenario. In that case they had power out for 2-3 weeks and people got a little funny. I don't me funny haha either. Take power away from people for as little as 7 days and you start to see some serious human behavior issues you've not seen before.
 

Badchoices03

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What cracks me up more than "stacking bodies" are the people that think they are gonna just go and take what they need from people who have prepared. Some people have watched wayyy too much rambo lol

I was thinking that everyone has watched too much Walking Dead...lol
 

just_floatin

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What cracks me up more than "stacking bodies" are the people that think they are gonna just go and take what they need from people who have prepared. Some people have watched wayyy too much rambo lol
When they should be watching the Walking Dead series.
 

monkeyswrench

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What cracks me up more than "stacking bodies" are the people that think they are gonna just go and take what they need from people who have prepared. Some people have watched wayyy too much rambo lol
I'd hazard to say those that have stocked food, started elsewhere in their preps first. Most people start with defending the castle, their possessions of monetary value and their families. Especially people my age, in their 40's. Most have never been truly hungry, and as a society we've had well stocked stores to pickup food. Couple days to a week with no restock, no problem.

Then some get to seeing other countries in their searches. The light comes on. You may need a lot of food. The deliveries could be scarce and little. That's when most start really "prepping" with food stores and things.
 

ChiliPepperGarage

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I have some unsettling news for those planning to head to rural areas to live off the land. Please start by having a destination AND an invitation. The people living the rural life have been expecting you for years and are Masters of Supply Management. The math is easy once you understand it and it doesn't favor hordes of people bugging out.
Wildlife within any reasonable distance of socal is not abundant enough to cover the number of people that think they will become hunter/gatherers overnight. The families salty enough to live the rural life in the first place are salty enough to protect that way of life with little to no delays at the trigger finger. Flush with backhoes or hungry pigs that recently ran out of bagged feed from Tractor Supply- rural pursuits might not always have a happy ending.
Best bet is to stay in place if possible. Your home is stocked (or should be) and easily defendable compared to a car on the open but congested highway. You know where everything is on a short run and muscle memory guides your movements as needed. Home is also very comforting in stressful times, especially for a family looking to you for guidance and comfort.
Over the last decade, I've sat in on several community "what if" discussions with our rural neighbors. There's always a few loud mouths that beat their chests (typically the newer property owners)- whatever....... The calm and cool conversations the seasoned folks have about this or worse, the deafening silence from the longtime residents that rarely do more than nod in agreement leaves me no doubt that heading to these areas should be a last resort.

^This 100%.

I live in a rural area. Pretty much every household is armed and know how to use what they have. We are also organized. Not in a militia way but rather in communication. In the event that something happened we would all notify each other.

The main thing is though, is that we are far enough out that we don't really need to worry about "zombies" even getting close to us. That is one reason why I moved here.

Those of you living in major metro areas should just try to prepare and stay put. Maintain a low profile and stay out of sight. All this talk of dirt bikes or SxS's driving across the desert is fantasy. In a real SHTF situation, you will become an easy target. Your flashy, loud machine will attract a lot of attention and it will be pretty much impossible to return fire and drive at the same time.

You will also run out of fuel pretty quickly. Have many extra fuel cans do you have ready to go now? How many miles can you go with what you have? Have you ever even tried a practice run to see what happens? What about navigation if your GPS doesn't work? How much food and water can you bring with you? The desert is pretty hot in summer and cold in winter. Are you prepared for that?
 

pronstar

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I think trying to get out during a earthquake or fire right away and you’ll be stuck on the road somewhere. Unless you were able to leave within the first 30 minutes.


Yup, and depending on the level societal decay, that traffic gridlock will be the perfect target rich environment for shitbags.

You’ve got carloads of people with all of their belongings and likely food, stuck with nowhere to go.

The best advice will be to disappear, figuratively if not literally. Most of us have families so being a lone wolf isn’t an option.

Be a gray man/family.
Don’t attract attention.
Blend in.
Have a plan with like-minded friends for security and shared resources.

The fantasy of running and gunning the countryside, wielding a shiny new AR that you’ve minimally trained with beyond punching holes in paper, is going to meet the hard reality that there are thousands of folks out there just like you, similarly motivated by hunger and the desire to protect their own families.

The odds are not in your favor.
 
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Big B Hova

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You didn’t layout the scenario.. in my head we are already at our bug out place.. you are standing at the gates armed, and I’m zeroing in on a near empty propane tank that’s in a box next to the side of the entrance.. 😳. I had assumed total anarchy when you posed the thread?

If your talking about an earth quake, it would be open arms and welcome to the neighborhood..
Rd would be 30 pack deep in either scenario
 

Orange Juice

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I’ve got a spot, where I can can catch fish and camp 8 months of the year and survive. The other 4 months I’m camping in Havasu’s “ North Forty Resort “.
 

SBMech

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Yup, and depending on the level societal decay, that traffic gridlock will be the perfect target rich environment for shitbags.

You’ve got carloads of people with all of their belongings and likely food, stuck with nowhere to go.

The best advice will be to disappear, figuratively if not literally. Most of us have families so being a lone wolf isn’t an option.

Be a gray man/family.
Don’t attract attention.
Blend in.
Have a plan with like-minded friends for security and shared resources.

The fantasy of running and gunning the countryside, wielding a shiny new AR that you’ve minimally trained with beyond punching holes in paper, is going to meet the hard reality that there are thousands of folks out there just like you, similarly motivated by hunger and the desire to protect their own families.

The odds are not in your favor.

The pure mental pressure your mind puts on your psyche in a live fire situation is quite enormous. Soldiers/Police/Sheriff experience it as a make or break moment.

There is a reason many can't make it.
 

ChiliPepperGarage

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Ferfal argues against remote living: https://ferfal.blogspot.com/

Cf. South African farm attacks:


We're not South Africa. I don't know if South African farmers are even armed.

I do know that if citiots were to somehow stumble across our rural valley and attack a farm (ranches here in our case) it would not go well for them. If the rancher didn't take them out, a quick phone call would result in a very well armed and quick response from citizens as well as LE that live in the valley.

It is also very quiet here so any multiple gun shots would be heard all over. That in it self would prompt a rapid response.
 

clarence

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I do know that if citiots were to somehow stumble across our rural valley and attack a farm (ranches here in our case) it would not go well for them. If the rancher didn't take them out, a quick phone call would result in a very well armed and quick response from citizens as well as LE that live in the valley.

It is also very quiet here so any multiple gun shots would be heard all over. That in it self would prompt a rapid response.

I hope so.

Just doesn't seem to be the way it's worked out elsewhere.
 

Orange Juice

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Earth quake and fire I’m sitting right where I’m at.. all of rdp is welcome to join me. We won’t run out of food I can promise. Lol

No need to even get the guns out for that.

Take something different though.. not world ending like a solar flare but more down to earth.. call it government shut down, or insurrection where our entire system goes anarchy for a bit..

In that case I’m gone to our exit plan, and depending on how fast things are deteriorating is going to determine the course of action.

RD
I’m heading to Dave’s warehouse first, loading up, then going to my secret spot. 😉
 

angiebaby

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That is pretty much my plan besides strapping on my Bug Out Bag. I have a desert tank on my Dual Sport, but I would still have to find at least an extra 3 gallons along the way to make it to our place in Havasu. It would be hard to carry that much extra gasoline.
Carry a jiggler. Much lighter than 3 gallons of fuel.
 
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