WELCOME TO RIVER DAVES PLACE

Election Predictions Thread, Maybe some bets?

TPC

Wrenching Dad
Joined
Sep 20, 2007
Messages
31,887
Reaction score
25,974
Markets are up this morning because word on the floor is early exit swing state polls are favoring Mitt.
I still have faith that Mitt may win,, and he'll be better than predicted in office.
 

regor

Tormenting libturds
Joined
May 28, 2010
Messages
44,081
Reaction score
147,623
Markets are up this morning because word on the floor is early exit swing state polls are favoring Mitt.
I still have faith that Mitt may win,, and he'll be better than predicted in office.

Specifically the energy sector! :headscratch:
 

squeezer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 2, 2012
Messages
5,900
Reaction score
2,796
I don't trust the vibe in RD's political forum.


Hey Tom,

With the crap Harper has been pulling you don't have much ground to mock your American cousins... Get off your high moose and join us down here in the mud.
 
Last edited:

Tom Brown

Epsilon contributor
Joined
Sep 20, 2007
Messages
26,888
Reaction score
2,199
I never said I liked or respected Harper. lol! :D
 

squeezer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 2, 2012
Messages
5,900
Reaction score
2,796
OK who is in charge of counting and collecting...


OK I've got racey @284
faceaz @ 288
Squeezer @ 303



And the disclaimer that I expect some results to be disputed!!!
 
Last edited:

Faceaz

Well-Known Member
Joined
Nov 10, 2007
Messages
4,358
Reaction score
776
OK who is in charge of counting and collecting...


OK I've got racey @284
faceaz @ 288
Squeezer @ 303



And the disclaimer that I expect some results to be disputed!!!


Might take a little while to know yet... Was the bet closest without going over?
 

Racey

Maxwell Smart-Ass
Joined
Sep 18, 2007
Messages
22,400
Reaction score
51,040
Might take a little while to know yet... Was the bet closest without going over?

Closest period, no price is right, looks like you're in the lead there brotha :thumbsup they are thinkin it's gonna be around 290 for O.

I didn't think Iowa would go O, but was pretty sure Wisconsin would
 
Last edited:

squeezer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 2, 2012
Messages
5,900
Reaction score
2,796
Might take a little while to know yet... Was the bet closest without going over?

Everbody knows these bets are closest without going under.... Whats wrong with you two :D
 

Faceaz

Well-Known Member
Joined
Nov 10, 2007
Messages
4,358
Reaction score
776
Closest period, no price is right, looks like you're in the lead there brotha :thumbsup they are thinkin it's gonna be around 290 for O.

I didn't think Iowa would go O, but was pretty sure Wisconsin would


:D

We were both pretty close. 4 more years of the same, doesn't matter Romney or Obama.
 

squeezer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 2, 2012
Messages
5,900
Reaction score
2,796
:D

We were both pretty close. 4 more years of the same, doesn't matter Romney or Obama.

Sitt'n at 303 right now...

All of my winnings need to be sent to racey... racey I need a few custom cav plate parts, this can be my down payment.
 

Faceaz

Well-Known Member
Joined
Nov 10, 2007
Messages
4,358
Reaction score
776
Sitt'n at 303 right now...

All of my winnings need to be sent to racey... racey I need a few custom cav plate parts, this can be my down payment.


I need an address. Don't care if it's yours or Racey, I'll get the check out.
 

Racey

Maxwell Smart-Ass
Joined
Sep 18, 2007
Messages
22,400
Reaction score
51,040
Sitt'n at 303 right now...

All of my winnings need to be sent to racey... racey I need a few custom cav plate parts, this can be my down payment.

God damn squeezer, i figured he'd win but didn't think there was a chance it would be by over 300. You nailed it :thumbsup

PM me your address and i'll send you a crisp 20, no bs checks, or if you really do need some stuff made let me know and i'll make you an "Election Recession EndoftheworldGreatDepression Special" :D
 

regor

Tormenting libturds
Joined
May 28, 2010
Messages
44,081
Reaction score
147,623
God damn squeezer, i figured he'd win but didn't think there was a chance it would be by over 300. You nailed it :thumbsup

PM me your address and i'll send you a crisp 20, no bs checks, or if you really do need some stuff made let me know and i'll make you an "Election Recession EndoftheworldGreatDepression Special" :D

Same thing squeezer, pm me an address and my 20 is in the mail, damn you. :grumble:
 

squeezer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 2, 2012
Messages
5,900
Reaction score
2,796
God damn squeezer, i figured he'd win but didn't think there was a chance it would be by over 300. You nailed it :thumbsup

PM me your address and i'll send you a crisp 20, no bs checks, or if you really do need some stuff made let me know and i'll make you an "Election Recession EndoftheworldGreatDepression Special" :D

This thing went pretty much like I believed it would with regard to EV by state. Expected Ohio to be closer than it was and Florida to be this close but for the Governor. (Giving exactly 303EV's... Florida will likely push that to 332). Popular vote distribution was a tiny bit stronger for Obama than I believed it would be.


Would love to take credit for this deep insight myself but most of my position was built upon the work of Nate Silver http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/ Specifically the probability distribution table. (I guess you could say I didn't build that...)

I would like to thank my wife for putting up with my mad man like obsession with polling analysis. My statistics professors for teaching us the power of probability distribution with respect to discrete outcomes. Next I would like to thank Fox News... Fox, you are so incredibly repugnant that I was motivated to get information from any source but you. So under informed in fact that the active tactic of taking any tidbit of your information that did leak into view as a compass pointing the opposite direction of where to actually look. When you called Silver an idiot the course was set. And lastly I would like to thank River Dave and River Daves Place. You guys suck and thats how it should be.

Money to:

xxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxx

(And since most of you will be moving to Canada soon I will accept payment in Canadian dollars and/or Moose-head beer)
 
Last edited:

Instigator

Just Livin up to My Name
Joined
Dec 19, 2007
Messages
5,023
Reaction score
5,454
I already opened my big mouth in post number 4.
That's my story and I'm stickin to it and I will be More than Happy to Submit my $ 20.00 to anyone that wins with Romney having a Bigger Number than 271:D:thumbsup

If he has less than 271 then I sending in my Obama $ 20.00 Monopoly Money:D


If Classic Daycrusier gets in on the Action he has to pay in US Dollars and not that Candian Shit that Jams up the Soda Machines.:D

As soon as I can hook up with 460 I too will be sending my money.................Obama $ 20.00 Monopoly Money just Like I promised.:D:grumble::grumble::grumble:

























I just hope that 460 doesn't charge me $ 40.00 USD for the Monopoly Money.:D
 

Racey

Maxwell Smart-Ass
Joined
Sep 18, 2007
Messages
22,400
Reaction score
51,040
This thing went pretty much like I believed it would with regard to EV by state. Expected Ohio to be closer than it was and Florida to be this close but for the Governor. (Giving exactly 303EV's... Florida will likely push that to 332). Popular vote distribution was a tiny bit stronger for Obama than I believed it would be.


Would love to take credit for this deep insight myself but most of my position was built upon the work of Nate Silver http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/ Specifically the probability distribution table. (I guess you could say I didn't build that...)

I would like to thank my wife for putting up with my mad man like obsession with polling analysis. My statistics professors for teaching us the power of probability distribution with respect to discrete outcomes. Next I would like to thank Fox News... Fox, you are so incredibly repugnant that I was motivated to get information from any source but you. So under informed in fact that the active tactic of taking any tidbit of your information that did leak into view as a compass pointing the opposite direction of where to actually look. When you called Silver an idiot the course was set. And lastly I would like to thank River Dave and River Daves Place. You guys suck and thats how it should be.

Money to:

Chris Brandt
121 SW Salmon St Suite 1100
Portland OR 97204

(And since most of you will be moving to Canada soon I will accept payment in Canadian dollars and/or Moose-head beer)

Envelope is in the mail headed your way
 

squeezer

Well-Known Member
Joined
Jul 2, 2012
Messages
5,900
Reaction score
2,796
Even RDP has fallen under the curse of the left wing welfare trap...

I voted for President Obama and people start sending me money:cool
 
Top